Canada Wheat Export Trend

Main Buyers

July-Nov campaign -Durum wheat included – MT

Forecast 

2018/19       2019/20      2020/21  % Chg   Difference  Share of exports  

World              9,594,350     8,652,444  11,577,294    34%    2,924,850      100%

1 China             656,624       301,497    1,254,414    316%    952,917       11%

2 Indonesia     1,006,592       889,231    1,004,973    13%     115,742     9%

3 Italy              261,306       501,001     931,454     86%    430,453    8% 

4 Peru              657,563       492,286      900,879     83%     408,593   8%

5 Japan             599,316       840,419      805,801     -4%     (34,618)   7%

6 United States     1,155,067       565,886      773,169     37%     207,283  7%

7 Bangladesh         399,833       437,034      696,342     59%     259,308   6%

8 Colombia           535,497       512,645     565,372     10%      52,727    5%

Canadian wheat exports are up 33 percent the first five months (July to November) of 2020/21, as countries such as China, Italy and Peru increased imports.

Strong demand for wheat drove up export prices globally, but a weak Canadian dollar (compared to USD) during the first five months of 2020/21, coupled with lower exports from Russia and Argentina, have given Canada a trade advantage.

Europe

Canada exported durum to Italy at a record-breaking pace in 2020/21 , driving exports to five times the 2019 level. 

Thirty-nine ( 39 % ) percent of all Canadian durum exports were destined for Italy. 

Africa 

Morocco has increased its imports of Canadian durum wheat 33 percent in 2020/21 to 449,000 MT, representing 20 percent of Canada’s total durum exports.

Canada continues to be Morocco’s primary supplier of durum wheat.

Exports of Canadian wheat to Nigeria are growing at their fastest pace ever, reaching levels 38 percent higher than the previous year, as of November.

Nigerian mills blend high-quality CWRS wheat with wheat from countries such as Latvia and Lithuania. 

Nigeria has become a priority market for Canada in recent years according to industry and government sources.

South and Southeast Asia 

Exports to South Asia and Southeast Asia increased by 48 percent and 14 percent, respectively, in the first five months of the trade year.

Eighty percent of these exports were made up of Canadian Western Red Spring (CWRS).

Indonesia is the third largest importer of wheat in the world, and Canada has 25 percent of the market share.

Wheat exports to Bangladesh increased 60 percent to 696,000 MT 19/20 20/21 % chg 19/20 20/21 %chg.

The Philippines continues to be a stable but smaller buyer of Canadian wheat exports.

It is the fourth largest wheat buyer in the world and Canada typically maintains two to five percent market share.